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2009 Grammy Award Predictions

February 7, 2009

GrammysAh the Grammy Awards, always an exciting treat for all music fans as members of every genre compete to see who really is the very best across the entire music community. With the awards upon us on Sunday it time to share my predictions for the country music categories of the night. Feel free to leave your comments if you’d like and share your thoughts on who will take home the awards this weekend.

 

 

Best Female Country Vocal Performance

  • “For These Times” – Martina McBride
  • “What I Cannot Change” – LeAnn Rimes (my pick)
  • “Last Name” – Carrie Underwood
  • “Last Call” – Lee Ann Womack
  • “This Is Me You’re Talking To” – Trisha Yearwood

     

LeAnn may not be the most consistent girl at radio, far from it actually, but her powerful and moving performance about dealing with the things in life that we just can’t change and learning to move on was the best of her career and showed a lot of growth and new found potential in this highly under-rated talent. Her major competition here is Womack and Yearwood and their equally significant performances, but neither of them managed to hit the magnitude of LeAnn’s emotionally charged ballad. 

Best Male Country Vocal Performance

  • “You’re Gonna Miss This” – Trace Adkins
  • “In Color” – Jamey Johnson (my pick)
  • “Just Got Started Lovin’ You” – James Otto
  • “Letter to Me” – Brad Paisley
  • “Troubadour” – George Strait

 

I actually think it would be foolish to bet against Jamey in his categories. he took the country world by storm with a new mix of contemporary and traditional quality country straight from life itself. “In Color” was the starting point of all this. Jamey’s return to the country scene saw him paying homage to his grandfather through a mix of acoustic production and sincere and personal emotion that was magnified by Johnson’s story-like delivery. he may not be the best vocalist ever, but he still manages to deliver a song effectively and memorably. His major competition lies in the form of Adkins, who also had his eye on “In Color”, or maybe even Brad Paisley who both have equally effective and significant ballads and a lot of strength behind them as well.

 

Best Country Performance by a Duo or Group with Vocals

  • “God Must Be Busy” – Brooks & Dunn
  • “Love Don’t Live Here” – Lady Antebellum
  • “Every Day” – Rascal Flatts
  • “Blue Side of the Mountain” – The SteelDrivers
  • “Stay” – Sugarland (my pick)

 

It’s been a while sense “Stay” made its huge break on the often close-minded country radio scene. However it’s hard to forget just how emotionally intense it was and how hard this made it for Jennifer Nettles to even make it through the video. Accompanied by no more than Kristian’s guitar and his brother on organ, Jennifer pulled off the performance of a lifetime with this powerful ballad. Obviously, by the way, I think this might be a year for the ballad’s to break through here and considering that the Grammy’s love to jump on a powerful ballad, especially one that’s new and original compared to everything else, Sugarland has a good shot. Don’t count out underdogs Lady Antebellum or favorites Rascal Flatts though. The Grammys could easily show some respect to the fan favorites.

 

Best Country Collaboration with Vocals

  • “Shiftwork” – Kenny Chesney & George Strait
  • “Killing the Blues” – Robert Plant & Alison Kraus
  • “House of Cash” – George Strait & Patty Loveless
  • “Life in a Northern Town” – Sugarland, Jake Owen & Little Big Town
  • “Let the Wind Chase You” – Trisha Yearwood & Keith Urban (my pick)

 

Now here’s a pick of mine that might turn some heads. As out there as it might seem, I’m really routing for Trisha and Keith on this one. I always thought this should have become a single because it would have definitely helped bring Trisha some more well deserved attention vaulting off the combined star power of her and Urban. Keith might only sing backup, but when he comes in on the chorus the combination of their two voices is just perfect and unmatchable. It would be crazy not to count out favorites Alison Krauss and Robert Plant or even “Life In A Northern Town” as the major rivals of Trisha and Keith here, this will be a very competitive one this time around.

 

Best Country Song

  • “Dig Two Graves” – Ashley Gorley & Bob Regan, songwriters (Randy Travis)
  • “I Saw God Today” – Rodney Clawson, Monty Criswell & Wade Kirby, songwriters (George Strait)
  • “In Color” – Jamey Johnson, Lee Thomas Miller & James Otto, songwriters (Jamey Johnson) (my pick)
  • “Stay” – Jennifer Nettles, songwriter (Sugarland)
  • “You’re Gonna Miss This” – Ashley Gorley & Lee Thomas Miller, songwriters (Trace Adkins)

 

This is an interesting category because it encompasses all ballads, like I said this is the year of the ballad. “In Color” not only captures the powerful connection of grandson and grandchild, but it also acts as a look back into the past and reveals in a very intimate, yet very simple way how being there and actually seeing something first hand can never be replaced. Johnson teamed with Miller and Otto to bring out the very best  of country music in a song that broke boundaries to reintroduce a solid traditional sound and concept to a genre that had recently been littered by cliche messages and repetition. This song was great because it was new, it was classic, and it was symbolic. On that note, “Stay” would be a big one to watch here as well and I wouldn’t count out Randy Travis’ song either, he’s definitely hiding in the shadows.

 

Best Country Album

  • That Lonesome Song – Jamey Johnson (my pick)
  • Sleepless Nights – Patty Loveless
  • Troubadour – George Strait
  • Around the Bend – Randy Travis
  • Heaven, Heartache, and the Power of Love– Trisha Yearwood

 

Now here is a category with major competition, maybe the only one that you might be able to confidently bet against Johnson in. However, I think he has it here. As with the first single “In Color”, Jamey’s entire sophomore project contains solid neo-traditional quality hits and songs based off of real life experience. The project hold absolutely nothing back focusing on everything from a broken heart to drug addiction in one of the most “country” albums of the past few years. However, the the album’s pure country feel will not be able to keep it from losing to the other solid neo-traditional offerings from Yearwood and Loveless or the new projects from Travis or Strait. Johnson will have to hope that the real life experience he poured into the project and the no-limits approach earns him some browny points.

 

 

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5 Comments leave one →
  1. Gavin permalink
    February 8, 2009 8:11 pm

    Are these your predictions or who you want to win?

    Best Female Country Vocal Performance

    * “For These Times” – Martina McBride
    * “What I Cannot Change” – LeAnn Rimes (your pick and my pick)
    * “Last Name” – Carrie Underwood (winner)
    * “Last Call” – Lee Ann Womack
    * “This Is Me You’re Talking To” – Trisha Yearwood

    I feel the same way you do about LeAnn Rimes and her performance. Arguably the best of her career. Unfortunately, very few people got to hear this masterpiece and that is a huge obstacle to overcome. Trisha Yearwood and Lee Ann Womack came out with very strong performances in their own right which is generally the standard for these two fine ladies. I was surprised at the nomination of Martina McBride. I was expecting Miranda Lambert or even Taylor Swift to get the nod over Martina. I’m a big fan of Martina but this year more than any other year she is more filler than contender. Which brings me to Carrie Underwood. Carrie is the reining champ in this category two years running and only two years removed from her best new artist win. Even though Carrie performs “Last Name” as good as it can be performed and the fact that it is the only chart topper among the nominees, in my opinion, it is arguably the weakest song in the category. This matters not, this is a category that weighs heavier on performance than it does on song quality and none of the ladies with the exception being LeAnn Rimes performs exceedingly better than Carrie Underwood. LeAnn’s brilliant but obscure performance will be hard pressed to overcome the Carrie Underwood machine.

    Best Male Country Vocal Performance

    * “You’re Gonna Miss This” – Trace Adkins (my pick and winner)
    * “In Color” – Jamey Johnson (your pick)
    * “Just Got Started Lovin’ You” – James Otto
    * “Letter to Me” – Brad Paisley
    * “Troubadour” – George Strait

    Jamey Johnson’s “In Color” is my favorite song but not my favorite performance. I think it is a close call between James Otto and Trace Adkins as far as performance goes. George and Brad sing well enough and are contenders by name recognition alone. I’m leaning toward Trace because his performance was a career defining performance and the gained popularity from his participation on Trump’s network tv show might be enough to pull the upset.

    Best Country Performance by a Duo or Group with Vocals

    * “God Must Be Busy” – Brooks & Dunn
    * “Love Don’t Live Here” – Lady Antebellum
    * “Every Day” – Rascal Flatts
    * “Blue Side of the Mountain” – The SteelDrivers
    * “Stay” – Sugarland (your pick and my pick and hopefully the winner)

    Lady Antebellum and The SteelDrivers deserved their nominations and in any other year might have had a chance but with Jennifer Nettles Tour de Force performance of her song “Stay” they will have to wait at least another year. From my mouth to God’s ear please don’t give it to Rascal Flatts.

    Best Country Collaboration with Vocals

    * “Shiftwork” – Kenny Chesney & George Strait
    * “Killing the Blues” – Robert Plant & Alison Kraus (my pick and winner)
    * “House of Cash” – George Strait & Patty Loveless
    * “Life in a Northern Town” – Sugarland, Jake Owen & Little Big Town
    * “Let the Wind Chase You” – Trisha Yearwood & Keith Urban (my pick)

    As long as “Shiftwork” doesn’t win I’ll be happy.

    Best Country Song

    * “Dig Two Graves” – Ashley Gorley & Bob Regan, songwriters (Randy Travis)
    * “I Saw God Today” – Rodney Clawson, Monty Criswell & Wade Kirby, songwriters (George Strait)
    * “In Color” – Jamey Johnson, Lee Thomas Miller & James Otto, songwriters (Jamey Johnson) (your pick and my pick)
    * “Stay” – Jennifer Nettles, songwriter (Sugarland) (winner)
    * “You’re Gonna Miss This” – Ashley Gorley & Lee Thomas Miller, songwriters (Trace Adkins)

    A different take on an old subject coupled with a raw emotionally charged performance and little production I actually found my self sympathizing with the other woman. I really like all the songs nominated in this category with “In Color” being my favorite. I just can’t see Jennifer Nettles not winning this award.

    Best Country Album

    * That Lonesome Song – Jamey Johnson (your pick and my pick and the winner)
    * Sleepless Nights – Patty Loveless
    * Troubadour – George Strait
    * Around the Bend – Randy Travis
    * Heaven, Heartache, and the Power of Love– Trisha Yearwood

    You said it all as far as this category goes but the fact that George Strait has never won a Grammy worries me a little. I personally think that King George will be shut out again but you never know.

  2. February 8, 2009 9:40 pm

    Sry Gavin, these are my predictions. Who I want to win would be a totally different story.

  3. Gavin permalink
    February 9, 2009 1:11 am

    Best Female Country Vocal Performance

    winner-Carrie Underwood (Shocking not)

    Best Male Country Vocal Performance

    winner-Brad Paisley (should have known)

    Best Country Collaboration with Vocals

    winner-Plant and Kraus

    Best Country Song

    winner-Stay by Jennifer Nettles

    Best Country Album

    winner-Troubadour (first Grammy for George)

  4. drake permalink
    March 30, 2009 9:00 am

    Hey Gavin,
    Ayaw mo ba kay Carrie. Putang ina ka. Wla kang paki if manalo sya. Deserving sya para manalo as Best Female Country Vocal Performance. Fuck you!

  5. March 31, 2011 6:57 am

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